Kutshanje, ukuhla okubukhali kwemfuno yokungenisa elizweni yase-US kubangele isiphithiphithi kwishishini.Kwelinye icala, kukho ukusilela okukhulu kwe-inventri, kwaye iivenkile ezinkulu zesebe e-United States zinyanzeliswa ukuba ziqalise “imfazwe yesaphulelo” ukuvuselela amandla okuthenga, kodwa isixa se-inventri esifikelela kwi-10 yeebhiliyoni zeeyuan sisenza ukuba abarhwebi bakhalaze. .Kwelinye icala, inani lezikhongozeli zaselwandle zase-US lisandula kwehla ngaphezulu kwe-30% ukuya kwiinyanga ezili-18 ezisezantsi.
Abona balahlekelwa kakhulu basengabathengi, ekufuneka bahlawule amaxabiso aphezulu kwaye baqinise amabhande abo ukuze banyuse imali abayigcinayo ukulungiselela ukujonga okuncinci kwezoqoqosho.Abahlalutyi bakholelwa ukuba oku kuhambelana nokuqala kwe-Fed yomjikelezo wokunyuka kwenzala, obeka uxinzelelo kwi-US utyalo-mali kunye nokusetyenziswa, kodwa ukuba iindleko zorhwebo zehlabathi kunye neziko lokunyuka kwamaxabiso liya kunyuka ngakumbi lifanele ukuqwalaselwa.
Abahlalutyi baqinisekisa ukuba ukusilela kuluhlu lwempahla ethengiswayo yase-US kuya kunciphisa ngakumbi imfuno yaseMelika yokungenisa elizweni.Ngokutsho kwedatha yamva nje ekhutshwe ngabathengisi abakhulu base-US kutshanje, uluhlu lwe-Costco ukususela ngoMeyi 8 lwaluphezulu njenge-17.623 yeebhiliyoni zeedola zase-US, ukunyuka ngonyaka kwe-26%.I-Inventory kwi-Macy's inyuke nge-17% ukusuka kulo nyaka uphelileyo, kwaye inani lamaziko okuzaliseka kwe-Walmart laliphezulu nge-32%.Usihlalo womenzi wefenitshala yodidi oluphezulu kuMntla Merika wavuma ukuba i-inventri ye-terminal e-United States iphezulu kakhulu, kwaye abathengi befanitshala banciphisa ukuthenga ngaphezu kwama-40%.Uninzi lwabanye abaphathi beenkampani bathi bazakulahla uluhlu oluthe kratya ngezaphulelo kunye nentengiso, ukucinywa kweeodolo zokuthenga phesheya, njl.
Esona sizathu sithe ngqo sesi siganeko singasentla lizinga eliphezulu lokunyuka kwamaxabiso.Abanye oosoqoqosho base-US kudala becinga ukuba abathengi baya kuba nakho“Incopho yokunyuka kwamaxabiso”ngoko nangoko emva kokuba Federal Reserve iqala umjikelo wayo wokunyusa inzala.
U-Chen Jiali, umphandi omkhulu kwi-Everbright Securities, uthe ukusetyenziswa kwe-US kusenamandla, kodwa izinga lokulondoloza lomntu liye lawela kwi-4.4% ngo-Ephreli, inqanaba eliphantsi kakhulu ukususela ngo-Agasti 2009. Kuthetha ukuba kwimeko yokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu, ikhaya. inkcitho ikhula ngokukhawuleza kunengeniso, nto leyo ekhokelela ekubeni abahlali banyanzeleke ukuba bayirhoxise imali yabo yokulondoloza kwangoko.
Ngokutsho kwedatha yamva nje ekhutshwe yi-Federal Reserve, izinga lokukhula kwexabiso kwiindawo ezininzi zase-United States "lomelele".Inkcazo yexabiso lomvelisi (PPI) ikhule ngokukhawuleza kunexabiso lomthengi (CPI).Phantse isiqingatha semimandla yabika ukuba iinkampani zikwazi ukudlulisa iindleko eziphezulu kubathengi;eminye imimandla iphinde yachaza ukuba "bachaswa ngabathengi", njengokuthi "ukunciphisa ukuthenga"., okanye uyibuyisele ngexabiso eliphantsi" njl.
UCheng Shi, ingcali yezoqoqosho ye-ICBC International, uthe ayiphelelanga nje ekubeni i-inflation ye-US yehle kakhulu, kodwa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okwesibini kuye kwaqinisekiswa.Ngaphambili, i-CPI yase-US yenyuka nge-8.6% ngonyaka ngoMeyi, iphula phezulu.Inkuthazo yokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-United States sele iqalile ukutshintsha ukusuka kwi-push of commodity ukuya kwi-spiral "yexabiso lomvuzo", kwaye ukungalingani okuqinisiweyo phakathi kokubonelela kunye nemfuno kwimarike yomsebenzi kuya kuphakamisa umjikelo wesibini wokulindela ukunyuka kwamaxabiso e-United States. .Kwangaxeshanye, ukukhula koqoqosho lwaseMelika kwikota yokuqala bekungaphantsi kunoko bekulindelwe, kwaye ukuchacha koqoqosho lokwenyani kuye kwacotha.Ukusuka kwicala lemfuno, phantsi koxinzelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu, ukuzithemba kokusetyenziswa kwabucala kuye kwaqhubeka nokuhla.Ngencopho yokusetyenziswa kwamandla ehlotyeni kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kungakhange kuphakame ngexesha elifutshane, kunokuba nzima kubathengi base-US ukuzithemba ngokukhawuleza.
Enyanisweni, iziphumo ze-spillover zokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu kunye ne-inventories ene-overstocked ifuna ukuqwalaselwa ngakumbi.U-Cheng Shi waphinda wabonisa ukuba ukongeza, kusekho ukungaqiniseki okukhulu kwimingcipheko ye-geopolitical yangaphandle, engasayi kuchaphazela kuphela amaxabiso eemveliso ezifanelekileyo kwaye inyuse ukunyuka kwamaxabiso jikelele, kodwa iqinise ukukhuselwa kwezorhwebo, ibe mandundu imeko yorhwebo yehlabathi, kwaye iphazamise. imeko yorhwebo yehlabathi.Ikhonkco lemizi-mveliso yehlabathi kunye nekhonkco lokubonelela lihamba kakuhle, linyusa iindleko zorhwebo kwaye liphakamisa ngakumbi iziko lokunyuka kwamaxabiso.
Ukungeniswa kwempahla ethunyelwa e-US kwehle ngaphezulu kweepesenti ezingama-36 ukusukela nge-24 kaMeyi, ngemfuno yase-US yokungeniswa kwempahla evela kumazwe ehlabathi liphela.UCheng Shi uveze ukuba uphononongo olukhutshwe yi-ABC ngoJuni lubonise ukuba uninzi lwabaphenduli alonelisekanga yimigaqo-nkqubo yezoqoqosho ka-Biden okoko wathatha isikhundla, i-71% yabaphenduli bebenganelisekanga ziinzame zika-Biden zokunqanda ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, kwaye ngaphezulu kwesiqingatha sabaphenduli bakholelwa. ukuba imiba yokukhula kwamaxabiso nezoqoqosho ibaluleke kakhulu.
Ukushwankathela, u-Chen Jiali ukholelwa ukuba umngcipheko wokudodobala koqoqosho lwase-US uyakhula, kwaye ulondoloza imbonakalo yoqoqosho ngokubanzi.I-CEO yeJPMorgan Chase uJamie Dimon wade walumkisa ukuba iintsuku ezizayo ziya kuba "mnyama," ecebisa abahlalutyi kunye nabatyali-mali ukuba "balungiselele" utshintsho.
Ixesha lokuposa: Jul-06-2022