Abangaphakathi kwimizi-mveliso baveze ukuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, ulawulo lwendyikityha, kunye nokwanda kweenqanawa ezintsha, okukhokelela ekwandeni kwendawo yokuthumela kunye nokuncipha komthamo wempahla, zezona zinto zintathu ziphambili kumazinga omthwalo wokuqhubeka nokuphononongwa ngokuchasene nomkhwa kwincopho yemveli. ixesha lonyaka.
1. Amaxabiso othutho kwiibhokisi zehle iminyaka esibhozo ilandelelana
I-Shanghai Shipping Exchange yazisa ukuba i-SCFI index yamva nje iqhubekile ukulahla amanqaku e-148.13 kumanqaku e-3739.72, phantsi kwe-3.81%, ewela kwiiveki ezisibhozo ezilandelelanayo.Ukubhala kwakhona i-low low ukususela phakathi kukaJuni kunyaka odlulileyo, iindlela ezine zomgama omde zawa ngokufanayo, phakathi kwazo indlela yaseYurophu kunye ne-US yasentshona ye-US yawa ngaphezulu, kunye nokuhla kweveki ye-4.61% kunye ne-12.60% ngokulandelanayo.
Isalathiso samva nje seSCFI sibonisa:
- izinga lomthwalo wetyala ngalinye ukusuka eShanghai ukuya eYurophu laliyi-US $5166, phantsi kwe-US $250 kule veki, yehle nge-3.81%;
- umgca weMeditera wawuyi-$ 5971 ngebhokisi, phantsi kwe-$ 119 kule veki, phantsi kwe-1.99%;
- izinga lempahla yesikhongozeli ngasinye seenyawo ezingama-40 eNtshona Melika yayingama-US $6499, phantsi kwe-US $195 kule veki, phantsi nge-2.91%;
- izinga lomthwalo wesitya ngasinye seenyawo ezingama-40 eMpuma Melika sasingama-US $9330, phantsi kwe-US $18 kule veki, phantsi kwe-0.19%;
- izinga lomthwalo we-South America Line (i-Santos) yi-US $ 9531 ngetyala ngalinye, i-US $ 92 ngeveki, okanye i-0.97%;
- izinga lomthwalo wendlela yePersian Gulf yi-US $2601 / TEU, phantsi kwe-6.7% ukusuka kwixesha elidlulileyo;
- izinga lothutho lomgca we-Southeast Asia (eSingapore) laliyi-US $846 ngetyala ngalinye, phantsi kwe-US $122 kule veki, okanye i-12.60%.
I-Drury world container freight index (WCI) yehle kangangeeveki ezingama-22 ezilandelelanayo, yehla nge-2%, ethe yaphinda yandiswa xa kuthelekiswa neeveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo.
I-Ningbo Shipping Exchange ikhutshwe ukuba i-ncfi index yamva nje ivaliwe kwi-2912.4, phantsi kwe-4.1% ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo.
Phakathi kweendlela ezingama-21, isalathiso somthwalo wendlela enye siye sanyuka, kwaye isalathiso somthwalo kwiindlela ezingama-20 sehla.Phakathi kwamazibuko amakhulu ecaleni kwe "Maritime Silk Road", elinye izibuko lereyiti yomthwalo liyenyuka kwaye i-15 ye-port's index rate yehla.
Izalathisi zendlela eziphambili zezi zilandelayo:
- Indlela yomhlaba yaseYurophu: Indlela yomhlaba yaseYurophu igcina imeko yonikezelo oludlula imfuno, kwaye isantya somthwalo wemarike siyaqhubeka sihla, kwaye ukuhla kuye kwanda.
- Indlela yaseMntla Melika: isalathiso somthwalo wendlela yasempuma yaseMelika yayingama-3207.5 amanqaku, ehle nge-0.5% ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo;Isalathiso somthwalo wendlela yasentshona yaseMelika ibingama-3535.7 amanqaku, ehle nge-5.0% ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo.
- Indlela yoMbindi Mpuma: isalathiso sendlela esembindi-mpuma yayingamanqaku angama-1988.9, ehle nge-9.8% ukusuka kwiveki ephelileyo.
Abahlalutyi bakholelwa ukuba ngokuzinziswa kwemeko yokuthintela nokulawula ubhubhane, kunengqiqo ukuba amaxabiso okuthutha amazwe ngamazwe ehle ngokuthe ngcembe kulo nyaka.Ukwehla okukhawulezileyo kwamva nje kubangelwe zizinto ezifana nokuphuculwa kokusebenza kweenqanawa, ukwehla kwemfuno yangaphakathi neyangaphandle, ukwehla kwamaxabiso e-oyile kumazwe ngamazwe, kunye nokonyuka okuthe gqolo komthamo wezothutho.
2. Ukuxinana kwezibuko kusenzima
Ukongeza, ukuxinana kwamazibuko kusekho.NgoMeyi nangoJuni, amazibuko aseYurophu ayexinene, yaye ukuxinana kunxweme olusentshona yeUnited States akuzange kuthomalaliswe kakhulu.
Ukusukela nge-30 yeSilimela, i-36.2% yeenqanawa zekhonteyina zehlabathi ziye zaxinga kumazibuko ngenxa yogwayimbo lwabasebenzi, amaqondo obushushu aphezulu ehlotyeni kunye nezinye izinto.Isixokelelwano sonikezelo savalwa kwaye umthamo wezothutho wawunqongophele, nto leyo eyakha inkxaso ethile yesantya sothutho kwixesha elifutshane.Nangona izinga lothutho lwehlile, lisekwinqanaba eliphezulu.
Umthamo wesikhongozeli seendlela zorhwebo ukusuka eMpuma Ekude ukuya eUnited States uyaqhubeka nokusuka entshona ukuya eMpuma, kwaye inani leebhokisi eziphathwayo ngamachweba kunxweme olusempuma yeUnited States liye landa kulo nyaka.Olu tshintsho lukhokelele kwingxinano kumazibuko kunxweme olusempuma.
UGeorge Griffiths, umhleli oyintloko yothutho lwempahla yehlabathi jikelele ye-S & P yempahla yehlabathi, wathi amazibuko akunxweme olusempuma asaxinene, kwaye izibuko lase-Savannah liphantsi koxinzelelo lwenani elikhulu lokungeniswa kwempahla kunye nokulibaziseka kweenqanawa.
Noko ke, ngenxa yoqhankqalazo lwabaqhubi beelori kwintshona yeUnited States, izibuko lisavaliwe, yaye abanye abanini-mpahla bajikela iimpahla zabo kwimpuma yeUnited States.Umqobo kwikhonkco lonikezelo lusanceda ukugcina isantya somthwalo kwizinga eliphezulu.
Ngokutsho kophando lwe-American Shipper kwi-traffic yaselwandle kunye nedatha yenqanawa emgceni, ekupheleni kukaJulayi, inani leenqanawa ezilinde kumazibuko aseMntla Melika lidlula i-150. Eli nani liyaguquguquka yonke imihla kwaye ngoku lingaphantsi kwe-15% kunencopho, kodwa kusenjalo. ngesantya esiphezulu.
Ukusukela ngentsasa ye-8 ka-Agasti, iinqanawa ze-130 zizonke zazilinde ngaphandle kwezibuko, apho i-71% yayikunxweme olusempuma kunye ne-Gulf Coast, kwaye i-29% yayikunxweme olusentshona.
Ngokutsho kwedatha, kukho iinqanawa ezili-19 ezilinde ukukhwela ngaphandle kweNew York New Jersey Port, ngelixa inani leenqanawa ezilindele ukukhwela kwizibuko le-Savannah liye lanyuka laya ngaphezu kwe-40. La mazibuko mabini lizibuko lokuqala kunye nesibini ngobukhulu unxweme olusempuma.
Xa kuthelekiswa nexesha lencopho, ingxinano kwizibuko elingasentshona ye-United States iye yancipha, kwaye izinga lokufika ngexesha liye landa, lafikelela kwelona nqanaba liphezulu (24.8%) ngaphezu konyaka.Ukongeza, ixesha lokulibaziseka eliphakathi kweenqanawa ziintsuku ze-9.9, eziphakamileyo kunonxweme olusempuma.
UPatrick Jany, igosa eliyintloko lezemali laseMaersk, uthe amaxabiso omthwalo angahla kwiinyanga ezizayo.Xa ukuhla kwamazinga omthwalo kuyeka, kuya kuzinza kwinqanaba eliphezulu kunangaphambili lo bhubhani.
U-Detlef trefzger, i-CEO ye-Dexun, uqikelele ukuba izinga lomthwalo liza kuzinza kwinqanaba le-2 ukuya ku-3 amaxesha phambi kokuqhambuka.
UMason's Cox uthe amaxabiso othutho alungiswa kancinci kwaye ngocwangco, kwaye akusayi kubakho kwehla kakhulu.Iinkampani ze-Liner ziya kuqhubeka ukutyala konke okanye phantse zonke amandla azo kwindlela.
Ixesha lokuposa: Aug-15-2022